BCS GURU®

Taking the BS out of BCS



Subscribe in a Reader


 The Guru on


 Follow The Guru on 



  STANDINGS

  AUTO QUALIFIERS

  ARCHIVES

  TEN YEARS OF BCS

  POLLS

  COMPUTERS

  GURU LINKS

 

  ABOUT THE GURU

  CONTACT THE GURU

  GURU IN THE MEDIA

 

 

 

 

BCS STANDINGS | LATEST POSTS | BCS NEWS | LINKS | CONTACT | ABOUT


BCS AUTOMATIC QUALIFICATION TABLE - FINAL 2009 SEASON

GURU'S BOWL CHART - FINAL with CONFERENCE RANKINGS


WHO'S NO. 1? WHO KNOWS

Let's be clear about this: The last time there was an undisputed national champion was the 2005 season, when Texas defeated USC in the epic 2006 Rose Bowl. Every season since, the legitimacy of the championship could be cast in doubt.

The 2009 season is no different.

While Alabama was the unanimous choice in both the AP and Coaches polls, a reasonable argument could be made for Boise State. TCU might be better than Texas - with or without Colt McCoy. And while the body of work of Alabama was more impressive than Boise's, who's to say that the Broncos couldn't have beaten the Tide in a one-game championship?

So here's how I voted on my final ballot, with comments below:

 
Rank Team Delta
1 Alabama
2 Boise State 1
3 Texas 1
4 Florida 2
5 TCU 3
6 Cincinnati 1
7 Ohio State 1
8 Iowa 1
9 Penn State 2
10 Brigham Young 2
11 Oregon 4
12 Georgia Tech 2
13 Virginia Tech
14 Utah 2
15 Wisconsin 4
16 Pittsburgh 2
17 Nebraska 7
18 Mississippi
19 LSU 5
20 USC
21 Miami (Florida) 6
22 Navy
23 Oklahoma State 3
24 Texas Tech
25 Central Michigan

Last week's ballot

Dropped Out:
West Virginia (#17), Arizona (#21), Oregon State (#22), Stanford (#23). 

(CONTINUE READING)

Great NCAA football tickets can be found through ticket broker Vivid Seats. We also sell Chicago Bears tickets, Patriots tickets, Colts football tickets, Vikings tickets and plenty more. Check us out today!


BIG TEN'S GRAND REVENGE TOUR

The Big Ten. Slow. Conservative. Bad.

Uh. Check that.

Make that. Fast enough. Aggressively enough. Not half bad.

So just what happened? Last year, the Big Ten went 1-6 in bowl games and, after Ohio State's back-to-back drubbing in the BCS national championship games the previous two seasons, the conference was officially written off as an anachronism.

But the 2009 bowl season is bringing a Big Ten renaissance. The conference is 3-2, having won the Rose Bowl and lost a 1-point game and in overtime. Two more teams have yet to play, with Iowa in another BCS game against Georgia Tech, in the Orange Bowl.

(Check out the Guru's Bowl Chart, breaking down how the conferences are doing against each other.)

(CONTINUE READING)
 

A listing of the best choices for online casino action can be found here where you'll find free casino games, news, articles and much more.


BOWL EXTRAVAGANZA

Call the Guru a glutton for punishment.

Two years ago, I handicapped all 32 bowl games ... and let's just say I was as successful as the French army was in May 1940. It was so bad that I didn't even bother tallying the damage.

But since time heals all wounds, I'm diving into the muddled waters of bowl predictions again. So here are my picks, along with a nugget or two, on the 34 bowl games this season, listed in chronological order:

New Mexico - Fresno State over Wyoming.

St. Petersburg - I thought Rutgers was a fraud all season long. Not changing that view here, going with Central Florida.

New Orleans - Middle Tennessee over Southern Miss.

Las Vegas - Oregon State deserves so much better than this. Take the Beavers over BYU.

Poinsettia - Utah gets one back for the Mountain West, over Jahvid Best-less Cal.

Hawaii - SMU's June Jones makes a triumphant return to the islands, but Nevada wins over his Mustangs.

(CONTINUE READING)


TOBY GERHART FOR HEISMAN

I'm not a Heisman voter and have no intention to ever become one. For what it's worth, I think it is possibly the most overrated trophy in all of sports.

But I've been asked to cast a blogger vote - similar to my weekly ballots in the BlogPoll - for the Heisman this year by the Blue Work Horse. So I'll bite. And there is actually a reason for me to care this year. I feel very strongly that Stanford's Toby Gerhart should win the Heisman.

Let's get this first part out of the way. Gerhart went to Norco High School, which happens to be my alma mater (Class of '87). And his daddy is the Cougars' football coach. Yes, I have to admit, it'd be kind of cool.

But Gerhart deserves the trophy, and my admiration, for much more than that. If you're still clinging to the myth of the "student-athlete" in big-time college sports, then he's your Atlas. Besides gashing Oregon and USC on the field, he also carries a mean GPA - not in kinesiology or general studies - but a 3.25 in management science and engineering. At Stanford, where its motto is Die Luft der Freiheit weht.

(CONTINUE READING)

 


BOISE IS IN, BUT BCS STILL FLAWED

The following is a guest column written by the co-founder of Playoff PAC. This article also appeared in RealClearSports.

By Matthew Sanderson

The college football world received good news Sunday night. Deserving and undefeated teams from Boise State and TCU received bowl invitations from the Bowl Championship Series. This will be the first post-season in BCS history that two teams from the five non-automatic qualifying conferences will receive BCS bowl berths in the same year. TCU automatically qualified for the invitation under BCS rules, while Boise State received an "at-large" invitation - a first for a "non-AQ" conference team.

These bowl invitations are a positive development, to be sure. But the BCS' new PR mercenaries, led by former Bush White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer, are certain to over-inflate their importance. Even before yesterday's selection, they've compared the BCS to apple pie, motherhood, and the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade. Wonder what they'll come up with now.

BCS officials will undoubtedly claim that the Broncos' bid, in particular, is proof positive that the door of opportunity is wide open to "non-AQ" schools under the BCS system. We need only look at the circumstances surrounding Boise State's invitation, though, to realize this is not true.

(CONTINUE READING)

 


THE GURU'S BLOGPOLL BALLOT (WEEK 14)

This week's BlogPoll ballot, with comments after the link:

 

Rank Team Delta
1 Alabama 1
2 TCU 1
3 Boise State 2
4 Texas
5 Cincinnati 1
6 Florida 3
7 Oregon
8 Ohio State
9 Iowa
10 Georgia Tech 2
11 Penn State 1
12 Brigham Young 1
13 Virginia Tech 5
14 LSU 1
15 Miami (Florida) 4
16 Utah 4
17 West Virginia 6
18 Pittsburgh 5
19 Wisconsin
20 Oklahoma State 4
21 Arizona
22 Oregon State 5
23 Stanford
24 Nebraska 2
25 Central Michigan


Last week's ballot

Dropped Out: Houston (#14), USC (#16), California (#21).  

(CONTINUE READING)


Listen to the Guru's Podcast with Jay Christensen of The Wiz of Odds.

 

 

HUMANITARIAN OR BUST

UCLA and Notre Dame are rivals. Maybe not so much on the gridiron, but there was a day that these two schools competed fiercely in basketball. After all, it was Digger Phelps' Fighting Irish who ended the Bruins' historic 88-game winning streak in 1974.

But today, UCLA should send a thank-you note to South Bend. For it was Notre Dame's decision to sit out the bowl games that opened the door for the Bruins to extend their season.

As of Friday, UCLA looked to be the odd team out: The only BCS conference school that's bowl eligible but unable to find a spot to play anywhere. The Pac-10, once again, had eggs on its face, with its inability to get more attractive bowl matchups for its conference teams, never mind enough of them to place all bowl eligible teams.

Take a look at the conference tie-in table here:

SEC - 8 (12 member schools)
ACC - 8 (12)
Big 12 - 7 (12)
Big Ten - 6 (11)
Big East - 5 (8)
Mountain West - 5 (9)
Pac-10 - 5 (10)
Conference USA - 5 (12)
WAC - 3 (9)
MAC - 3 (13)
Sun Belt - 1 (9)
Army/Navy - 2 (2)

(CONTINUE READING)


'BAMA-TEXAS, HO-HUM

A dropped hold on a PAT. An errant kickoff out of bounds.

Two plays, they're all that kept a non-BCS team from crashing the BCS title game party for the first time.

But it wasn't to be. Pittsburgh's dropped PAT attempt allowed Cincinnati to escape with a 45-44 victory. Hours later, Texas squeezed by Nebraska with a 13-12 victory, in large part thanks to the kickoff that went out of bounds following the Huskers' go-ahead field goal.

So the BCS conferences can breathe a sigh of relief. Alabama will face Texas in Pasadena for the BCS national championship. TCU, Boise State and Big East's Cincinnati will be left to fight over the scraps.

For what it's worth, the Bearcats will edge the Horned Frogs for the third spot. And had Hunter Lawrence missed his 46-yard field goal as time expired, Cincinnati would've been the team in Pasadena.

Boise State, on the other hand, should be sending some roses to Mr. Lawrence. Texas' victory just about assured the Broncos' safe passage to their second BCS bowl appearance in four years.

The BCS bowl matchups:

BCS national championship game: Alabama vs. Texas
Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Cincinnati
Fiesta Bowl: Iowa vs. Boise State
Orange Bowl: TCU vs. Georgia Tech
Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Ohio State

Projected Final BCS Standings: 1. Alabama (expected to score a perfect 1.000 in the BCS ratings), 2. Texas, 3. Cincinnati, 4. TCU, 5. Boise State, 6. Florida, 7. Oregon, 8. Ohio State, 9. Iowa, 10. Georgia Tech, 11. Penn State, 12. Virginia Tech, 13. LSU, 14. BYU, 15. Miami (Fla.).

(READER COMMENTS)


THE NEXT CONSPIRACY

Oklahoma State was exposed as unworthy of a BCS bowl bid. So Boise State is in, right?

With apologies to Lee Corso ... not so fast, my friend!

There is still one scenario where the Broncos would be left out of a BCS bowl bid - if Texas loses to Nebraska in the Big 12 title game, then the Longhorns will gain the final at-large bid over the Broncos. At this point, with six unbeatens and no one-loss teams, it's unlikely that any two-loss team will be chosen over Boise State for the final at-large spot.

But the next conspiracy, if you want to call it that, is on the horizon. With potentially five unbeaten teams heading into the BCS bowls, conveniently only the BCS title game will pit two undefeated teams, denying a claim for a "people's champion." In fact, two of the other three likely unbeatens will be facing a team with at least two losses in BCS bowl games.

This is how the bowl picture will shake out should Texas as expected meets the SEC champion:

BCS Championship Game: Florida/Alabama winner vs. Texas
Sugar Bowl: Florida/Alabama loser vs. Cincinnati/Pittsburgh winner
Fiesta Bowl: Iowa or Penn State vs. Boise State
Orange Bowl: TCU vs. Georgia Tech/Clemson winner
Rose Bowl: Oregon/Oregon State winner vs. Ohio State

If Texas loses to Nebraska:

BCS Championship Game: Florida/Alabama winner vs. Cincinnati or TCU
Sugar Bowl: Florida/Alabama loser vs. TCU or Pittsburgh
Fiesta Bowl: Iowa or Penn State vs. Nebraska
Orange Bowl: Texas vs. Georgia Tech/Clemson winner
Rose Bowl: Oregon/Oregon State winner vs. Ohio State

TCU's blowout victory cemented its claim to be the first team to finish the regular season undefeated, but it came with a price. Because New Mexico is so terrible, the Horned Frogs will take a hit in the computer ratings, so much so that it may cost them a spot in the next BCS standings. It will be close, but the Guru expects Cincinnati to jump TCU for No. 4.

The projected BCS standings:

1. Florida, 2. Alabama, 3. Texas, 4. Cincinnati, 5. TCU, 6. Boise Sate, 7. Oregon, 8. Ohio State, 9. Iowa, 10. Penn State, 11. Georgia Tech, 12. Virginia Tech, 13. Pittsburgh, 14. LSU, 15. BYU.

(READER COMMENTS)


BOWLING ALONE ... WITH 67 OTHERS

America may be suffering a decline in social capital because everybody is busy texting and tweeting instead of going out and bonding with real people. Robert Putnam was simply ahead of his time.

But that's not a problem in college football. Unless your team really, really sucked, everybody gets to bowl, even if it costs your school money for the privilege.

Once again, we have 34 bowls in this postseason for 68 teams. And on the eve of Thanksgiving, we officially have 69 bowl eligible teams, meaning every bowl slot will be filled, with at least one 6-6 team being sent home despite its excellence perfect mediocrity.

The odd team out could be Notre Dame, either by its own choosing or by being squeezed out of a bowl slot. If the Irish lose to Stanford this weekend - as expected - they may decide to clean house instead of making an appearance at a minor bowl and risking Jimmy Clausen being sucker-punched by one of their irate, drunken alums.

(CONTINUE READING)


WHAT HAPPENED TO RIVALRY WEEKEND?

Once upon a time (yes, I'm old, I'm 40), the third weekend of November brought us the de facto end of the football season. The biggest rivalries were played on this weekend. From the wind-swept desolate plains in the Midwest to the sun-splashed Pacific Coast, arch rivals lined up to settle things once and for all.

Now, we got Florida-Florida International, and Alabama-Chattanooga.

Thanks a lot, SEC, but I think I'll tune to the History Channel and watch a rerun of the Six Day War.

Today's best rivalry game was The Game. Yeah, Harvard-Yale actually meant something. Michigan-Ohio State? Not so much.

As for the BCS standings, we're in Ground Hog Day mode. In fact, maybe I should just shut down this site for the rest of the year and see you next August. I mean, even a chimp or Brad Edwards can do these projections. Shouldn't I try to win the Nobel Peace Prize (I hear you don't have to do much to get that, but it comes with a cool million)?

Save for Iowa's dropping from the ranks of unbeatens, the top of the BCS standings has stayed virtually static for the past four weeks. The order of the top six teams shuffled around slightly, but nothing much has changed.

There are still 16 teams in contention for the 10 BCS bowl berths. Bad news for Boise State: Either Iowa or Penn State will earn an at-large bid, and Oklahoma State probably will, too, if it can beat suddenly-disintegrating Oklahoma. And there's still a chance that a 9-3 USC team might be chosen over a 13-0 Broncos.

But that's a discussion for later. Here's the projected BCS standings for this week (and no, it's not Memorex):

1. Florida, 2. Alabama, 3. Texas, 4. TCU, 5. Cincinnati, 6. Boise State, 7. Georgia Tech, 8. Oregon, 9. Ohio State, 10. Pittsburgh, 11. Oklahoma State, 12. Iowa, 13. Penn State, 14. Virginia Tech, 15. LSU.

(READER COMMENTS)


WOULD A PLAYOFF BE FAIR?

The following is a guest column written by two economists on the merits of a college football playoff. This article also appeared in RealClearSports.

By Michael Davis and Tim Kane

College football decides its champion in a unique way that has become somewhat controversial because every other major sport in America uses a playoff. Over time, the sizes of those playoff systems have expanded, making college football stand in ever sharper contrast.

College football crowns its Bowl Championship Series (BCS) champion after pairing the top-ranked two teams in a single game. The top teams are determined largely by expert polls with some input from computer algorithms. The team ranked third often has a semi-legitimate case that it deserved an opportunity to play in the championship game, especially since the BCS formula has been repeatedly tweaked. The issue of fairness is a common attack thrown at the bowl tradition by playoff agitators. But fairness is impossible to measure. Or is it?

Any playoff system requires a cutoff that leaves a single team out. The wider the net, the more arbitrary that cutoff becomes (requiring ever more complicated tie-breaker rules). The result is that any playoff introduces another kind of unfairness. An 8-team playoff gives an arguably weaker team the chance to defeat a squad that was much better during the regular season. That may make for enjoyable entertainment, but it is definitely unfair in its way. The argument is that a playoff cheapens the regular season and all its games.

(CONTINUE READING)


MIGHT TCU GET TO PLAY FOR BCS TITLE?

As we get closer to the finish line, it seems like amateur hour all over the web. All sorts of people who have as strong a grasp on college football as they do on grammar are coming out with incredibly nonsensical scenarios.

At the risk of spreading baseless speculations, take a look at this one:

National Championship - TCU vs. Boise State

Rose Bowl - Oregon State vs. Wisconsin

Orange Bowl - Pittsburgh vs. Duke

Sugar Bowl - LSU vs. Georgia Tech

Fiesta Bowl - Kansas State vs. Alabama

First of all, Wisconsin cannot win the Big Ten. It's not unlikely, but impossible, per the Big Ten's tiebreaker rules. And if Alabama wins the SEC championship, even with one loss, it's guaranteed to play in the Sugar Bowl. Furthermore, since in this scenario the Orange Bowl has the first pick, there is no way on God's green earth it'd take the Big East champion over all other qualifiers.

So, Sean, please go back and study up a little more before you venture into something that's slightly above your pay grade.

The only item in this juvenile fantasy that's not a mathematical or procedural impossibility is the first one - a BCS national championship game between TCU and Boise State.

(CONTINUE READING)


IN DEFENSE OF THE PAC-10

When it comes to propaganda and publicity, the Pac-10 is woefully ill-prepared in this arms race. Of all the BCS conference, no one undersells itself better than the Pac-10.

If USC isn't such a media darling and hated around the country for its glitz and glam (not to mention excellence), the Pac-10 would be completely unheard of. Out of sight, out of mind. It's a pity because you can make a reasonable argument that the Pac-10 really is the best conference in college football, perhaps 10 years running.

But in the BCS Era, the college football cognoscenti (the self-anointed ones, that is) have been lapping it up at the SEC trough. And the last three seasons, coming on four, an SEC team has been crowned the BCS national champion.

That isn't so much affirmation of SEC's superiority as the sign that it's adroitly winning the media war. If the old Confederacy wasn't able to conquer America, its rightful descendants have made sure that the South indeed has risen.

Don't blame the SEC for understanding and leveraging the system to its maximum benefit. But do blame the Pac-10 for not doing its job.

(CONTINUE READING)


THE BIGGEST GAME WAS PLAYED ON C-SPAN

While you're digesting all of those scores from Saturday night, the most important one might've flown under the radar: 220-215. Those five votes could mean the difference of all the bowl money ever spent in the history of college football ... and then some. Yep, the price tag for that health care bill is in excess of $1 trillion.

(Sure hope you have an offshore account somewhere, preferably with funds not in U.S. dollar.)

OK, staying on point and returning to our frivolous sporting pursuit ...

It didn't turn out to be Upset Saturday exactly, but the BCS picture definitely became a bit more clear, if not quite crystal clear. This much we do know:

* It appears that a BCS championship matchup between Texas and the SEC champion, either Alabama or Florida, is all but inevitable.

* Iowa finally went down with a thud. However, the Hawkeyes can still win the Big Ten and earn a Rose Bowl bid by beating Ohio State next week in Columbus. If the Buckeyes win, they go to Pasadena.

* The winner of the Oregon-Arizona game will own the inside track to the Pac-10's Rose Bowl bid. However, if the Wildcats win that game, USC would be back in the picture with a win over Arizona in the regular-season finale. That race, because of the Ducks' upset loss to Stanford, is suddenly very much in the air.

* Georgia Tech, by pulling out an OT win against Wake Forest, is closing in on the ACC Coastal title and should be the odds-on favorite for the conference's Orange Bowl bid.

* Notre Dame is done, as far as a BCS bowl berth is concerned. And the likelihood of having two Coalition teams in BCS bowls in the same season - for the first time - increases.

And here are the projections for the next BCS Standings:

1. Florida, 2. Alabama, 3. Texas, 4. TCU, 5. Cincinnati, 6. Boise State, 7. Georgia Tech, 8. LSU, 9. Iowa, 10. USC, 11. Ohio State, 12. Oregon, 13. Pittsburgh, 14. Utah, 15. Houston.

(READER COMMENTS)


THE REVOLUTION WAS TELEVISED ... ON ABC

1453. 1644. 1917. And now, Halloween 2009.

Like the Byzantine, Ming and Romanov empires, all good things must come to an end. Such was the case for the Trojan Dynasty that has ruled the Pac-10 since 2002.

In retrospect, it was easy to see that this was a rebuilding year for USC. It lost most of its defensive stalwarts, including an entire linebacking corps that went among the first 38 picks in the NFL draft. It lost its star quarterback, who now hot dogs it for the New York Jets. It even lost its offensive coordinator to a rival Pac-10 school.

But because it's USC, it was assumed that it'd go on like business as usual ... until Saturday night, when the Oregon Ducks formally pronounced the fin de siecle with a resounding quack.

Since Pete Carroll's arrival in 2001, the Trojans have never been on the business end of a beatdown ... until Saturday night. Oregon's 47-20 victory was by far the worst loss in the Carroll Era (they have lost by double digits just once previously, by 11 to Notre Dame in 2001). It was also the most points the Trojans have ever allowed under Carroll (and the most since 1996).

The loss to Oregon effectively ends USC's bid for a short ride to Pasadena - either for the Rose Bowl or the BCS title game. The Trojans, of course, are still very much alive for a BCS bowl bid, possibly the Fiesta, but they won't win the Pac-10 this year.

The shame is that while Oregon will go on and claim the Rose Bowl bid, it almost certainly has no chance of claiming a spot in the BCS title game, despite playing better than anyone in the country at the moment. The Ducks, after a difficult season-opening loss at Boise State, have ruled the Pac-10 the way USC used to, outscoring their five conference foes by a score of 208-58.

Meanwhile, Iowa's BCS title hopes are alive and well despite yet another shaky performance. Some voters, however, are bound to elevate the Hawkeyes on their ballots based on that deceiving 42-24 final score over Indiana.

But ask yourself this: Is there any doubt which team is better, has played better, and has played better competition? If Iowa were to meet Oregon on a neutral field next week, who would be a double-digit favorite?

It's not Iowa. And the BCS is most definitely not heaven.

Projected BCS Standings:

1. Florida, 2. Alabama, 3. Texas, 4. Iowa, 5. TCU, 6. Boise State, 7. Cincinnati, 8. Oregon, 9. LSU, 10. Penn State, 11. Georgia Tech, 12. USC, 13. Ohio State, 14. Pittsburgh, 15. Utah.

(READER COMMENTS)


IOWA LACKS STYLE ... ALSO SUBSTANCE?

After the 2001 season, the BCS forced the computers remaining in the BCS formula to remove margin of victory (MOV) as an element in their respective algorithms. The reason, ostensibly, is that it discourages teams from running up the score since they wouldn't benefit from it.

Well, they should've asked all the pollsters to remove their eyeballs so they can only check the scores in Braille.

We're more than halfway done in the 2009 season, and the BCS Standings provides a clear picture: Style points matter. Why else would Iowa be ranked fourth despite being the near-unanimous choice as the top team by the computers?

The Hawkeyes may be 8-0, but they got to 8-0 in the ugliest fashion imaginable. They had to block two field goals against I-AA Northern Iowa (5-3, ranked 14th in the I-AA poll). They looked listless against Arkansas State (2-4, sixth in the Sun Belt). They escaped against Michigan, thanks to five Wolverines turnovers, including a game-killing interception in the final minute. And they needed the very last second to beat Michigan State last week.

(CONTINUE READING)


ALMOST FAMOUS

Lane Kiffin came close. He was accused of not trying to win against Florida, but no such allegation may be lodged against him and his Tennessee Volunteers this week. Had Daniel Lincoln put a little more arc on his field goal attempts, we would be here discussing how the next BCS Standings would be completely shaken up.

Instead, it's a weekend of what it might have been.

Throw in another Sparty, No! moment, what we are left with is simply status quo at the top of the BCS Standings.

Or is it?

Florida, Alabama and Texas will remain in the top three spots - in that order - in Sunday's BCS Standings. However, some shuffling will be in order for the next five slots.

(Brad Edwards, ESPN's alleged "BCS Expert" had this to say ... now, I may not be 100 percent accurate all the time, but what the hell kind of "expert" offers up this sort of insightful analysis? My four-year-old, armed with an abacus, can make this call. Lame.)

The 4-8 spots will be close, and how the order plays out will depend largely on the voters of the two polls. Will they consider TCU now good enough to be in the top 5, or will they continue to let the Horned Frogs languish in the 7-8 spots? Will they punish Iowa for needing the very last second to escape Michigan State? Will USC be hurt by its yet another closer-than-expected victory?

With Boise State safely ahead, 34-0, at the half in paradise (and the Guru's sometime offseason home), there is enough data to run the projections. It'll be close, but unlike some people, I won't chicken out.

The projected BCS Standings:

1. Florida, 2. Alabama, 3. Texas, 4. Iowa, 5. TCU, 6. Boise State, 7. Cincinnati, 8. USC, 9. LSU, 10. Oregon, 11. Georgia Tech, 12. Penn State, 13. Virginia Tech, 14. Oklahoma State, 15. Utah.

(READER COMMENTS)


AN INTERVIEW WITH RICHARD BILLINGSLEY

Of the six computer ratings in the BCS formula, the Billingsley Report is unquestionably the most controversial. And of the seven programmers (Anderson & Hester count as two), Richard Billingsley is undoubtedly the most opinionated and colorful. The Billingsley Report has been part of the BCS since its second season, 1999, but the data goes all the way back to 1869, to Princeton vs. Rutgers, the first college football game ever played.

With the 2009 BCS Standings set to debut on Sunday, the Guru decided to have a chat with Mr. Billingsley this week in a no-holds-barred, hour-long phone interview. This is what he had to say:

(CONTINUE READING)


TEN YEARS OF BCS: 2006

BCS had its dream season in 2005. Too bad it had to wake up for 2006.

Throughout most of the year, it looked as if the BCS would have its first intra-conference rematch, pitting Ohio State against Michigan. The Big Ten's bitter rivals matched each other game-for-game on a collision course of unbeatens while other contenders fell away.

Then on the eve of the 1-vs.-2 showdown at the Horseshoe, Bo Schembechler, Michigan's legendary coach (and former Ohio State assistant), passed away.

The two teams joined battle with raw emotions, if very little defense. The surprisingly high-scoring game was more or less decided by Michigan linebacker Shawn Crable's late hit on Ohio State QB Troy Smith late in the game. The Buckeyes won, 42-39.

But Michigan stayed at No. 2 in the BCS standings even after the game, making a rematch in Arizona a real possibility. Then the Wolverines began to fall, week after week, without playing a single down.

(CONTINUE READING)

 

LATEST POSTS BY THE GURU

SEC IS SO TOUGH ... LIKE A DUCK - Most certainly, I'm not the only one who suspected that Ole Miss was a fraud. Yeah, the Rebels did beat Florida and finished with a six-game win streak last year, but what have they done in 2009 to warrant the lofty ranking of No. 4 in the AP Poll and No. 5 in the Coaches Poll? Well, nothing, really. (CONTINUED)

POOFFFFFF ... GOES THE MOUNTAIN WEST - Well, so much for all that talk about the Mountain West getting an automatic bid to the BCS. One weekend of upsets restored order somewhat in the BCS universe. The only BCS buster left standing, for now, is Boise State, who now firmly controls its own destiny for a second BCS bowl berth in three years. ... (CONTINUED)

WHY THE AP POLL STILL MATTERS - The Associated Press top 25 was released over the weekend. And it didn't make much of a splash aside from that Florida got an unprecedented 58 of 60 first-place votes. But don't be fooled. Even in the BCS Era, the AP Poll still matters. A lot. ... (CONTINUED)

CONGRESS CAN'T 'FIX' THE BCS - Sen. Orrin Hatch made a lot of noise earlier this year about reforming the BCS. ... Rep. Joe Barton went as far as introducing a bill to ban the use of "national championship" by the BCS. Even President Obama has promised (or threatened) to "throw his weight around a little bit." But don't hold your breath. The BCS isn't going anywhere and it's not going to change much. ... (CONTINUED)

WHAT THE COACHES POLL WROUGHT - It's the first preseason poll of significance, and it's the first element of the 2009 BCS standings to be revealed. So when the USA Today Coaches Poll was released last Friday, it was immediately taken apart and analyzed. Yeah, it may be a preseason poll, but don't think for a moment that it means little. ... (CONTINUED)

 

LATEST BCS NEWS

BOISE CAN SOLIDIFY MOUNTAIN WEST'S CASE (Bleacher Report) - After two years of a four-year evaluation period, the Mountain West is playing well enough to earn an automatic bid to BCS bowl games in two of the three evaluated categories. They are razor-close to passing the third hurdle on their own, but with the addition of Boise State to their conference starting in 2011, they have the numbers to even answer that challenge.

WHY CONGRESS SHOULD FIX BCS (JohnZigler.com) - The BCS conundrum is one of the most frustrating issues because the solution is so incredibly obvious and yet, no matter how close the powers that be get to accidentally finding it, they somehow still manage to only make things worse. So if the Congress can make my life a little more enjoyable by fixing one of the dumbest dilemmas in all of sports, I am more than willing to listen.

BCS AGAIN PROVES ITS WORTHLESSNESS (Washington Post) - So the BCS came up with the best solution it could think of under these difficult circumstances: have TCU and Boise State play each other. If you have to invite unwanted guests to dinner, make them eat in the kitchen.

TALKING AQ EVALUATION WITH BILL HANCOCK (Mountain West Connection) - Everyone knows that the Mountain West is looking to become a BCS conference. The only way that they can guarantee automatic qualification BCS status would be to gain it through the "BCS Evaluation Period." BCS Executive Director Bill Hancock was kind enough to answer a few of questions regarding the process of determining automatic qualifier status.

 

THE GURU'S VAULT

THE ONLY 'PLAYOFF' THAT WORKS - The BCS annual meeting is set to take place next Monday in Pasadena, where the commissioners are expected to hobnob and mostly wring their hands before declaring the BCS a "success."

TEN YEARS OF BCS - In this series, The Guru examines the results from the first 10 seasons since the inception of the BCS in 1998 and analyzes who got lucky and who got robbed, what could've been, what should've been and other controversies of the day.

BCS FAIRNESS DOCTRINE - Is the BCS unfair to the non-BCS conferences? Ben Prather, our friend at Fanblogs.com, breaks down the performances by team and by conference over each of the past four seasons. And here are his findings.

REMAKING THE BCS FORMULA - After another season of high-wire acts, the temptation of course is to blow the BCS to smithereens and start over. But that's neither practicable nor desirable. Here's the first thing that may be fixed quickly: The formula.

ONE-ON-ONE WITH BILL HANCOCK - Who's Bill Hancock? You ask. He's the one and ONLY employee of the Bowl Championship Series. Mr. Hancock is the BCS Administrator, essentially, the spokesman and the face of the BCS. His conversation with The Guru.

BCS ERA TOP 10 - The Guru reviews and examines the top programs during the BCS Era (1998-2007) and ranks them from Nos. 1-10. With records, ranking and video highlights.

 

   

 

Google

 

A Production of SC Publications, All Rights Reserved © 2010 BCS GURU

 

A MEMBER OF